Happy Monday everyone.
We are back with another PrizePicks article for tonight’s MLB slate.
All of the games on the schedule today start after 6:00 PM ET, so we won’t narrow down the games to choose from.
There are so many different ways to build out a PrizePicks square, so make sure you go through each of the different categories to look for the best value on the projections.
I’ve narrowed it down to my four favorite picks for Monday.
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PrizePicks predictions and player picks
Tommy Henry less than 4.0 strikeouts
Taking the less than on a low strikeout projection is always worrisome, but we haven’t seen much from Henry in the major leagues.
Over the last two seasons, he owns a 5.36 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15% and a walk rate of 10%.
He hasn’t been tough on left or right-handed hitters, which means the matchup sets up well for all of the hitters in the Phillies’ lineup.
While Philadelphia has some high-strikeout bats in the order, Henry has racked up four or fewer strikeouts in all five of his starts this season.
Shohei Ohtani more than 7.5 hitter fantasy score
If you aren’t familiar with the PrizePicks scoring, that’s the first part of the site you should visit.
When it comes to hitter fantasy score, players get two points for walks, runs, RBI, and hit by pitch.
They get three points for a hit and that number increases depending on if it’s a double, triple, or home run.
Ohtani has averaged well over 7.5 fantasy points per game this season and draws a nice matchup against Tanner Houck, who has allowed a .341 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons.
During that stretch, Ohtani boasts a .384 wOBA and a .286 ISO against right-handed pitching.
Kyle Muller more than 5.5 hits allowed
The Mariners are in a great spot tonight at home.
Whether you want to look at the more than 5.5 hits allowed or the less than 4.5 strikeouts for Muller, I’m on board.
His numbers over the last two seasons have not been pretty and they have been even worse if you just look at this season.
He currently has a 7.47 xERA with a .410 xwOBA allowed.
Muller has given up at least seven hits in five of his last seven starts and draws a tough matchup on the road.
The Mariners hit Southpaws well and are massive favorites in this one.
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Luis Castillo more than 7.5 strikeouts
The A’s have been a fun team to watch this season and could be a force to be reckoned with in the years to come, but they are a long ways from that.
They have been a matchup goldmine for opposing pitchers, as they aren’t the most potent offense, and they strike out in bunches.
For tonight, eight of the nine projected starters for Oakland have a strikeout rate of at least 22% against right-handed pitching, and six have a strikeout rate of at least 26%.
Castillo has been solid over the last two seasons, posting a 3.36 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 27%.
He’ll be aggressive against this A’s lineup, especially with the game being at home.